Model Development of Time and Cost Performance Measurement Methods - Earned Value Management (EVM) With a Combination of Dynamic Uncertainty Analysis (Case Study Road Construction Project in South Sulawesi Province)

Abstract

In the execution cycle of a construction project often found a divergence varians especially with respect to time and costs, which in detecting the occurrence of a deviation of the project is often carried out an evaluation of the performance of the results that have been achieved both on time and cost. One method that is most frequently used in evaluating the performance of the cost and time that the methods Earned Value Management (EVM), but in the study of analysis methods EVM can be concluded that the assumptions used only linear and static i.e. the estimation of the time and cost of the project from performance has been generated just shows the estimated value of which is rigid and not dynamic, where as if the result of the estimated project cost and time performance shows one possible course. Therefore, the purpose of writing this article which is to carry out a development model of performance measurement time and cost of the project by analyzing a combination of uncertainty dynamic against time and cost of the project, which will be used in combination by entering the numbers uncertainties optimistic, enable / ideal and pessimism about the estimated time performance and future costs at the time of the evaluation process is done (Freeze time). From the study results of the analysis conducted can be formulated basic equation in the form of indicators that can be formulated to predict total project time and cost of the three conditions, namely optimistic pessimist and ideal and analysis to the level of probability methods normal distribution to predict time and total cost of completing a project construction.